BTC BUY SIGNAL AT 116400 TARGET 117800

Auctron Chart

AUCTRON ANALYSIS for BTC-USDC at 09-17-2025 03:51 AM PST is to BUY at $116361.5300 confidence: 90% DAY

Macro'Price & Macro'Volume (50'% weighting)

  • Total market cap:'$4.128'T, up 0.52'% on the last 24'h; the cap has just crossed below the 4.2'level at 4.149'T, confirming an upward move that has been accumulating over the last week.
  • Dominance snapshot: BTC'56.19'%, ETH'13.12'%, XRP'4.36'%, SOL'3.09'%, ALT'23.25'%. BTC still leads the allocation chain, indicating that price action will likely remain 'BTC'heavy' over the next 3'5'days.
  • VWAP:'$117'303'high, price now sits at $116'361.53 ' a lower swing'high that is followed by a short'term pullback, a classic Wyckoff 'consolidation' cue.
  • RSI:'73 (strong), suggesting that the price is currently in an over'extension phase.
  • Volume'weighted OBV:'-307.58'% down from the last OBV reading, but the cumulative OBV count is still trending upward (consec OBV down''1, cumulative OBV down''178.05'%).
  • Liquidity:'1.85'% ' a modest volume pool that will support a tight breakout if we catch the short'term momentum.

Micro'Price & Micro'Volume (50'% weighting)

  • BTC'USD price:'$116'361.53, down '0.41'% from the previous close.
  • Week'to'date:'up 0.79'% from $115'444.88, showing that the price is already on a higher'to'date trend.
  • Month'to'date:'up 6.51'% from $109'250.59, indicating a 6'month 'cumulative' acceleration.
  • Year'to'date:'up 23.24'% from $94'419.76, a strong yearly driver that confirms the long bias.
  • On'Balance Volume:'-71.73'% (consec OBV down''1), but the OBV cumulative count is still positive ('178.05'%), so we are in a 'bullish OBV' zone.
  • RSI:'73 (the same figure), meaning that the micro'price is still strong enough to test a short'term high.

Dual'Layer Wyckoff Insight

  1. Macro'price: The market cap's 0.52'% daily rise is a solid 'accumulation' signal, and BTC's 56'% dominance is the strongest driver in the composite.
  2. Micro'price: A lower swing'high at $117'303'followed by a retracement to $116'361.53 is exactly what Wyckoff's 'consolidation ' breakout' sequence predicts.
  3. Volume: The OBV reading confirms that the pullback has been buying'in, so we should see a short'term breakout around the low of the retracement.

Recommended Trade Set'Up

Stage Signal Entry Target Stop
Entry Lower swing'high break $116'400 (rounded for precision) $117'800 $116'200
Exit 1'day/2'day target on VWAP $117'800 '
Classification DAY BUY

Score
(5'''95, nearest'5) ' 90 (high confidence)

Call'to'Action
If you're looking for a short'term breakout that sits on a solid macro'price and volume foundation, set a DAY BUY at $116'400 with a target of $117'800. Tight stop'loss at $116'200 gives you a favorable risk'reward of ~1.4:1.

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